The
future impact computer programme
Anybody has
an implicit idea about the probable future. It directs your decisions, because
some of them are not desirable: they are your field of problems. When somebody
else judges your design (evaluation), (s)he can reject your design from another
idea about the future. So, it is important to make explicit your idea about the
future for an honest judgement of your study.
Try http://www.bk.tudelft.nl/urbanism/team,
publications 2003, FutureImpact.exe (Fig. 1) to make your ideas about the future explicit in a
design relevant way.
|
|
Jong (2003) http://www.bk.tudelft.nl/urbanism/team ,
publications 2003 |
|
Fig. 1 Determining your probable future |
|
|
The aspects
‘management’, ‘culture’ and so forth, are deliberately operationalised in an
abstract way in extreme values (initiative(!) versus executing(?),
traditional(<) versus innovative(>) and so forth), so that they mean
something at each order of magnitude. Then they gain another working on each
scale level, whereby their meaning shifts according to scale context.
Deciding
among incomparable spatial, ecological, technical, economic, cultural and managerial
values (evaluation) is dependent on the size of the
project, the context within which the programme or intention is determined and
the probable future in which the impacts of the intervention are anticipated
within the term of a given planning horizon. In a second sheet of the computer
programme you can fill in the frame(O) and grain(o) (size and resolution) of
the object you have in mind. By doing so, the rest is context. What targeted
(P) and non targeted (I) impacts you expect from the object you have in mind in
that context? (Fig. 2).
|
|
|
|
|
Fig. 2 Determining object (O..o) its impacts,
desired (P) or not (I) within the future context |
|
|
Once you
have made explicit where you expect the object to have its impacts (not
even specifying them), you can ask the computer programme to make the framework
of a priliminary study proposal by pushing the button below (Fig.
2).
The study
proposal will look like this:
<Name> (26-8-2003 )
<Title> (Delft) Faculty of Architecture DUT
1 OBJECT OF STUDY AND ITS CONTEXT.
1.1 OBJECT
OF STUDY
The object of study has the
resolution of a sketch for 2030 on
District(1km) scale with smallest details on Buildingcomplex(30m) level.
1.2 ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE FUTURE CONTEXT
Assumptions about the probable
future context of the object of study until 2030 are:
- management will be initiating (!) on Global(10000km) not on
Continental(3000km), on Subcontinental(1000km), on Buildingpart(1m) level;
- culture will be innovative (>) not on National(300km) on Regional(30km)
level;
- economy will be growing (+) not on Global(10000km) on Buildingpart(1m)
level;
- technique will be internally specializing subfunctions (/) on District(1km)
not on Neighbourhood(300m) not on Superelement(100mm) level;
- ecology will be differentiating into heterogeneity (|) on District(1km)
not on Neighbourhood(300m) level;
- mass will
be concentrating (C) on Regional(30km) not on Subregional(10km), on
Town(3km), not on District(1km), on Neighbourhood(300m) level;
assuming that probable
future contexts will affect evaluation of the object.
1.3 MOTIVATION OR PROGRAMME
Setting desirable futures
against this probable future context according to Jong and Priemus(2002) we get
a problem field. Within that field the study object derives its
motivation from expected:
- Town(3km) management;
- District(1km), Building(10m) culture;
- Regional(30km), District(1km), Building(10m)
economy;
- Subregional(10km), Town(3km) technique;
- Global(10000km), Town(3km) ecology;
- concentrating (C) Town(3km), concentrating (C)
Neighbourhood(300m), Ensemble(100m) mass;
partly resulting in a
programme of requirements to change undesired developments.
1.4 NOT TARGETED EXPECTED IMPACTS
Unintended impacts are expected
on:
- Regional(30km), Neighbourhood(300m),
Buildingcomplex(30m), Building(10m), Buildingpart(1m) management;
- Town(3km), Neighbourhood(300m), Buildingpart(1m)
culture;
- Town(3km) economy;
- District(1km), Neighbourhood(300m) technique;
- Regional(30km), Neighbourhood(300m),
Ensemble(100m), Buildingcomplex(30m), Building(10m) ecology;
- Building(10m) mass;
summarised as well in the
table below and elaborated in the next chapters.
1.5
SUMMARISED HIGHLIGHTS OF STUDY
|
Future 2030 |
Global(10000km) |
Continental(3000km) |
Subcontinental(1000km) |
National(300km) |
Subnational(100km) |
Regional(30km) |
Subregional(10km) |
Town(3km) |
District(1km) |
Neighbourhood(300m) |
Ensemble(100m) |
Buildingcomplex(30m) |
Building(10m) |
Buildingsegment(3m) |
Buildingpart(1m) |
Buildingcomponent(300mm) |
Superelement(100mm) |
Element(30mm) |
Subelement(10mm) |
Supermaterial(3mm) |
Material(1mm) |
Submaterial(<1mm) |
|
|
management |
! |
? |
! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
culture |
|
|
|
< |
|
> |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
economy |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
technique |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
/ |
x |
|
|
|
|
|
|
x |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ecology |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
= |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
mass |
|
|
|
|
|
C |
D |
C |
D |
C |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Legend:
management = initiating (!)
or executing or controlling initiatives (?)
culture = innovative (>) or
traditional (<)
economy = growing (+) or declining
(-)
technique = internally
specializing subfunctions (/) or internally combining subfunctions (X)
ecology = differentiating
into heterogeneity (|) or egalizing into homogeneity (=)
mass = concentrating (C) or
dispersing (D)
|
Impacts 2030 |
Global(10000km) |
Continental(3000km) |
Subcontinental(1000km) |
National(300km) |
Subnational(100km) |
Regional(30km) |
Subregional(10km) |
Town(3km) |
District(1km) |
Neighbourhood(300m) |
Ensemble(100m) |
Buildingcomplex(30m) |
Building(10m) |
Buildingsegment(3m) |
Buildingpart(1m) |
Buildingcomponent(300mm) |
Superelement(100mm) |
Element(30mm) |
Subelement(10mm) |
Supermaterial(3mm) |
Material(1mm) |
Submaterial(<1mm) |
|
|
management |
|
|
|
|
|
I |
|
P |
|
I |
|
I |
I |
|
I |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
culture |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I |
P |
I |
|
|
P |
|
I |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
economy |
|
|
|
|
|
P |
|
I |
P |
|
|
|
P |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
technique |
|
|
|
|
|
|
P |
P |
I |
I |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ecology |
P |
|
|
|
|
I |
|
P |
|
I |
I |
I |
I |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
mass |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
P |
O |
P |
P |
o |
I |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Legend:
largest frame of study (O)
and smallest grain of study (o)
probably affected without
intention (I) or origin of motivation or programme (P)
2 ELABORATED MOTIVATION OR PROGRAMME OF REQUIREMENTS.
The object of study has the
resolution of a sketch for 2030 on District(1km) scale with smallest details on
Buildingcomplex(30m) level. With regard to my assumptions about the future
context(1.2) I derive my motivation from:
Town(3km) management because .....
District(1km),
Building(10m) culture because .....
Regional(30km),
District(1km), Building(10m) economy because .....
Subregional(10km),
Town(3km) technique because .....
Global(10000km), Town(3km)
ecology because .....
Concentrating (C)
Town(3km), concentrating (C) Neighbourhood(300m), Ensemble(100m) mass because .....
Earlier examples with similar motivation and context below fascinate me
professionally.
|
|
|
|
Naam: Woning ensembles in Hong Kong Bron: Het ontwerp van de
stadsplattegrond(pag. 52) Auteur: Jan Heeling e.a. Uitgever: SUN ISBN: 90 5875 026 4 Keywords: hoogbouw, dicht op elkaar, heel druk, veel
mensen en allemaal zelfde vorm. |
Naam: Luchtfoto Rotterdam-Pendrecht Bron: Het ontwerp van de
stads-plattegrond (pag. 155) Auteur: Jan Heeling e.a. Uitgever: SUN ISBN: 90 5875 026 4 Keywords: druk, repetitie, ritmie, hoog en
laagbouw |
|
Bentvelsen (2003) http://www.bk.tudelft.nl/students/b1140337/internet/ |
|
|
Fig. 3 Professionally
fascinating images |
|
|
|
|
These images add the
following designerly aspects to the motivation and programme of requirements of
my study.
…….
3 ELABORATED DESCRIPTION OF
OBJECT, LOCATION AND OTHER FUTURE CONTEXT FACTORS.
The object of study has the
resolution of a sketch for 2030 on District(1km) scale with smallest details on
Buildingcomplex(30m) level. The object will be located in ....
As a context I assume:
- management will be initiating (!) on
Global(10000km) not on Continental(3000km), on Subcontinental(1000km), on
Buildingpart(1m) level because: .....
- culture will be innovative (>) not on
National(300km) on Regional(30km) level because: .....
- economy will be growing (+) not on
Global(10000km) on Buildingpart(1m) level because: .....
- technique will be internally specializing
subfunctions (/) on District(1km) not on Neighbourhood(300m) not on
Superelement(100mm) level because: .....
- ecology will be differentiating into
heterogeneity (|) on District(1km) not on Neighbourhood(300m) level
because: .....
- mass will be concentrating (C) on Regional(30km)
not on Subregional(10km), on Town(3km), not on District(1km), on
Neighbourhood(300m) level because: .....
This chapter and the next ones will grow during the study.
4 POSSIBLE IMPACTS OF THE OBJECT AND ACTORS INVOLVED.
As announced in my
introduction I expect the following impacts from my study:
- Regional(30km), Neighbourhood(300m),
Buildingcomplex(30m), Building(10m), Buildingpart(1m) management because:
.....
- Town(3km), Neighbourhood(300m), Buildingpart(1m)
culture because: .....
- Town(3km) economy because: .....
- District(1km), Neighbourhood(300m) technique
because: .....
- Regional(30km), Neighbourhood(300m),
Ensemble(100m), Buildingcomplex(30m), Building(10m) ecology because: .....
- Building(10m) mass because: .....
So, actors involved in realisation
of my study will be:
.....
Their respective societal
interests stem from:
.....
5 CONCLUSIONS
According to Jong and
Voordt eds. (2002), page 28 - 31 this study proposal demonstrates:
- Affinity with designing by ...
- University latitude by ...
- Concept formation and transferability by ...
- Retrievability and Accumulating capacity by ...
- Methodical accountability and Depth by ...
- Ability to be criticised and to criticise by ...
- Convergence and limitations by ...
It gives a contribution to the research of my studio ... by ...
Its has enough limitations
to be realised in next timetable.
…
BIBLIOGRAPHY AND ICONOGRAPHY
Bergh, W. F. v. d. (2002)
Contemplations for Copenhagen in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways
to study and research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft
University Press
Breen, J. L. H. (2002) Designerly Enquiry in: T. M. d.
Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban, architectural
and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Breen, J. L. H. (2002) Learning from The Bridge project
in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban,
architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Cuperus, Y. J. (2002) Classification and combination
in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban,
architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Fokkema, J. T. (2002) Preface in: T. M. de and D. J.
M. v. d. Voordt Jong Ways to study and research urban, architectural and
technical design. (Delft) Delft University Press
Frieling, D. H. (2002) Design in strategy in: T. M. d.
Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study urban, architectural and technical
design (Delft) DUP Science
Geuze, A., P. J. v. Eldijk, et al. (2002) Experience
intuition and conception in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to
study and research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft
University Press
Guyt, P. and E. D. Hulsbergen (2002) Urban Programming
Research in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research
urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Heeling, J., P. J. v. Eldijk, et al. (2002) Designing
a village in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and
research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University
Press
Hertzberger, H. (2002) Creating space of thought in:
T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to research and study urban,
architectural and technological design (Delft) Delft University Press
Hertzberger, H. (2002) Perceiving and conceiving in:
T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban,
architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Houben, P. P. J. A. M. (2002) Optimising performance
requirements in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and
research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University
Press
Hulsbergen, E. D. and P. v. d. Schaaf (2002) Ex ante
research in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research
urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Jong, T. M. d. (2002) Designing in a determined
context in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. H. v. d. Voordt Ways to research and
study urban, architectural and
technical design (Delft) DUP Science
Jong, T. M. d. and L. v. Duin (2002) Design research
in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. H. v. d. Voordt Ways to research and study urban, architectural and technical design
(Delft) DUP
Jong, T. M. d. and H. Engel (2002) Typological
research in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. H. v. d. Voordt Ways to research and
study urban, architectural and
technical design (Delft) DUP
Jong, T. M. d. and H. Priemus (2002) Forecasting and
Problem Spotting in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. H. v. d. Voordt Ways to research
and study urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) DUP
Jong, T. M. d. and J. J. Rosemann (2002) Formation of
the image in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. H. v. d. Voordt Ways to research and
study urban, architectural and
technical design (Delft) DUP
Jong, T. M. d. and J. J. Rosemann (2002) Naming
components and concepts in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. H. v. d. Voordt Ways to
research and study architectural, urban and technical design (Delft) Faculteit
Bouwkunde TUD
Jong, T. M. d. and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt (2002)
Criteria for scientific study and design in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d.
Voordt Ways to research and study urban, architectural and technical design
(Delft) Delft University Press Science
Jong, T. M. d. and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt (2002)
Retrieval and Reference in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. H. v. d. Voordt Ways to
research and study urban, architectural
and technical design (Delft) DUP
Jong, T. M. d. and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt, Eds. (2002)
Ways to study and research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft)
DUP Science.
Klaasen, I. T. (2002) Modelling reality in: T. M. d.
Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban, architectural
and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Koutamanis, A. (2002) Visualization and architecture
in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban,
architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Lans, W. and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt (2002) Descriptive
research in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research
urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Leupen, B. A. J. (2002) Concept and Type in: T. M. d.
Jong, D. J. M. v. d. Voordt and Y. J. Cuperus Ways to research and study urban,
architectural and technological design (Delft) Delft University Press
Loon, P. P. v. (2002) Design by optimisation in: T. M.
d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban,
architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Mácel, O. (2002) Historical research in: T. M. d. Jong
and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban, architectural and
technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Meijer, V. J. (2002) Plan analysis in: T. M. d. Jong
and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban, architectural and
technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Moens-Gigengack, M. J. (2002) Map study in: T. M. d.
Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban, architectural
and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Priemus, H. (2002) The empirical cycle in: T. M. d.
Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban, architectural
and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
Sariyildiz, I. S., R. Stouffs, et al. (2002) Future
ICT developments in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and
research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University
Press
Thomsen, A. F. (2002) Ex ante performance evaluation
of housing in: T. M. d. Jong, D. J. M. v. d. Voordt and Y. J. Cuperus Ways to
study and research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft
University Press
Voordt, D. J. M. v. d. and T. M. d. Jong (2002) Types
of Study by Design in: T. M. d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study
and research urban, architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University
Press
Westrik, J. A. (2002) Urban design methods in: T. M.
d. Jong and D. J. M. v. d. Voordt Ways to study and research urban,
architectural and technical design (Delft) Delft University Press
.....
KEY WORDS
In this index an expression
like y(x), object(subject) means ‘object y as a working (function, action,
output, result, characteristic) of the subject x (independent variable actor,
input, condition, cause)’.
planhorizon(2030)
management=initiating(Global(10000km)notContinental(3000km),Subcontinental(1000km),Buildingpart(1m))
culture=innovative(notNational(300km)Regional(30km))
economy=growing(notGlobal(10000km)Buildingpart(1m))
technique=specialising(District(1km)notNeighbourhood(300m)notSuperelement(100mm))
ecology=diversifying(District(1km)notNeighbourhood(300m))
mass=concentrating(Regional(30km)notSubregional(10km),Town(3km),notDistrict(1km),Neighbourhood(300m))
frameobject(District(1km))
grainobject(Buildingcomplex(30m))
impactmanagement(Regional(30km),Neighbourhood(300m),Buildingcomplex(30m),Building(10m),Buildingpart(1m))
impactculture(Town(3km),Neighbourhood(300m),Buildingpart(1m))
impacteconomy(Town(3km))
impacttechnique(District(1km),Neighbourhood(300m))
impactecology(Regional(30km),Neighbourhood(300m),Ensemble(100m),Buildingcomplex(30m),Building(10m))
impactmass(Building(10m))
programmemanagement(Town(3km))
programmeculture(District(1km),Building(10m))
programmeeconomy(Regional(30km),District(1km),Building(10m))
programmetechnique(Subregional(10km),Town(3km))
programmeecology(Global(10000km),Town(3km))
programmemass(Town(3km),Neighbourhood(300m),Ensemble(100m))
…..